Development outlook

Central Subtropical Atlantic

NHC / CPHC · Issued Sep 26, 17:34 UTC · Last checked Sep 26, 19:31 UTC

What is developing?

A surface trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the southeast of Bermuda is currently producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear somewhat favorable for gradual development of this system as it moves northward this weekend and then turns eastward by the early to middle portion of next week.

Development description: National Hurricane Center / Central Pacific Hurricane Center.

Will it affect me?

A formation probability is not a landfall probability. Rain, surf and gusty winds can affect land even if a cyclone does not form. Use location-specific warnings to guide your decisions.

What happens next?

NHC reassesses development conditions in each outlook. Once advisories begin, follow the storm's forecast track, hazards and official warnings. No arrival time can be inferred from a development percentage alone.