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Development outlook

Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands

NHC / CPHC · Issued Sep 26, 17:22 UTC · Last checked Sep 26, 19:31 UTC

20%Formation within 48 hours
70%Formation within 7 days

What is developing?

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form within the next day or two about 1000 miles to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of the system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early to middle part of next week. The system is should move generally northeastward, and remain well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Development description: National Hurricane Center / Central Pacific Hurricane Center.

Will it affect me?

A formation probability is not a landfall probability. Rain, surf and gusty winds can affect land even if a cyclone does not form. Use location-specific warnings to guide your decisions.

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What happens next?

NHC reassesses development conditions in each outlook. Once advisories begin, follow the storm's forecast track, hazards and official warnings. No arrival time can be inferred from a development percentage alone.

Read the latest official outlook ↗