Official NHC tracking

Tropical Storm Gonzalo

Advisory 007 · Sep 26, 15:00 UTC

Gonzalo was centered at 18.8°, -23.0° with sustained winds of 40 mph at the latest stored advisory.

40 mphWinds

1005 mbPressure

345° at 10 mphMovement

Will it affect me?

The center track alone cannot show your local risk. Wind, rain, surf and surge can extend well outside the forecast cone.

Check my location →

NHC forecast; local impact depends on your location.

Earth imagery

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Where is it going?

The map shows the latest stored official forecast track and cone. The cone describes uncertainty in the center's path; it does not show the full area of hazardous weather.

Official forecast map and arrival-time products ↗

When could conditions arrive?

There is no single arrival time for an entire storm. Use NHC's wind-arrival products and local NWS warnings for your area. Storm Incoming does not infer a landfall time from distance or current motion.

Forecast discussion

NHC's discussion explains the forecast reasoning, expected changes and uncertainty.

Read the official forecast discussion ↗

Advisory history

Observed advisory snapshots collected by Storm Incoming. Times in UTC.

Sep 26, 15:00 UTC40 mphAdvisory 007 · 1005 mb

Questions about this storm

Does being outside the cone mean I am safe?

No. The cone describes the forecast center position. Dangerous conditions can occur outside it. Check official local warnings and evacuation instructions.

Why can the forecast change?

New observations and changes in steering winds, ocean conditions and storm structure can alter the forecast. Always check the advisory's issue time.

Where should I get official instructions?

Follow your local NWS office, NHC advisories and local emergency management. Use the location checker to find active alerts.